New polling continues to deliver grim news for Donald Trump in Texas.
46 percent of Texans said they “definitely won’t” vote for Trump, while 40% saying they definitely would, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll.
Of the Democratic candidates included in the survey, Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren trailed Trump by only seven points in Texas. Sen. Bernie Sanders came within five and Julián Castro within 13 points.
Trump’s lead is not unexpected in a historically red state, but other polls have shown the opposite, with some candidates, like Biden (and formerly O’Rourke), beating Trump in a head-to-head. In fact, the Texas Tribune poll is the only poll conducted this month showing Trump leading Biden in Texas. Four other polls show Biden ahead of or equal to Trump.
The Bottom Line
Polls show the Lone Star State within striking distance for Democrats. Trump is faring significantly worse at this point in the race compared to prior election outcomes by Republican presidents, including himself.
2016: Trump v. Clinton: 9 points
2012: Romney v. Obama: 16 points
2008: McCain v. Obama: 12 points
2004: Bush v. Kerry: 23 points
2000: Bush v. Gore: 21 points
Axios compiled data on President Trump’s net approval rating since he came into office. In Texas, he has plunged 15 points since January 2017.
Photo: Steven Ryan/Getty Images
Fernando covers Texas politics and government at the Texas Signal. Before joining the Signal, Fernando spent two years at the Houston Chronicle and previously interned at Houston’s NPR station News 88.7. He is a graduate of the University of Houston, Jack J. Valenti School of Communication, and enjoys reading, highlighting things, and arguing on social media. You can follow him on Twitter at @fernramirez93 or email at firstname.lastname@example.org